#base rate forecasting

Discover 2 curated intelligence briefings related to this specific topic.

The Great Temporal Shift: Why the World's Most Powerful Thinkers are Planning for the Year 12,024
History & Ideas

The Great Temporal Shift: Why the World's Most Powerful Thinkers are Planning for the Year 12,024

From the nuclear vaults of Finland to the boardrooms of global hedge funds, a radical shift in temporal perspective is taking hold. Modern thinkers are abandoning the myopia of the 90-day cycle in favor of 'Deep Time' planning, treating the distant future as a present-day stakeholder.

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The Outside View Protocol: A Masterclass in Killing Your Own Optimism Bias
Psychology & Behavior

The Outside View Protocol: A Masterclass in Killing Your Own Optimism Bias

Most professionals fail not because of a lack of effort, but because of the Planning Fallacy. Learn the rigorous step-by-step protocol to shift from the 'Inside View' to the 'Outside View' to achieve realistic project outcomes.

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